Is the HECM Durable or a Drain?



Despite improvements, the HECM remains a reliable target of fiscal scrutiny

In its Fiscal Year, 2020 Financial Report the Department of Housing and Urban Development called out the HECM program saying it ‘undermines’ the financial soundness of FHA’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund which backs both HECMs and traditional FHA loans. There have also been repeated statements that the program is being subsidized by traditional FHA mortgages- a claim that has been recently challenged in a recent blog post by New View Advisors writing,

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“We think Forward Mortgage does not subsidize Reverse Mortgage now any more than Reverse Mortgage subsidized Forward Mortgage in 2009. A true subsidy would mean outsized realized HECM losses, and a compelling case that this will continue. This is not demonstrated in the report.” New View concluded by referencing a recent revision to the Actuarial review of FHA’s insurance fund. That revision increased the HECM’s economic net worth in the MMI fund from a negative $5.4 billion to a positive $1.268 billion. That revision was made after Jim Veale- an industry watcher and HECM originator contacted Pinnacle Actuaries in late November. Veale noted a discrepancy between the actuaries calculation of Total Capital Resources of a negative $5.64 billion versus a positive $1.597 billion shown in HUD’s report to Congress. As a result, Pinnacle updated their report which now has added $7 billion dollars to make the HECM’s economic net worth a positive $1.2 billion. This strengthens the argument that the HECM is presently not a drag on the overall FHA fund which backs the program.

Looking back the HUD’s recent annual report released December 4th, one area of concern that rightly deserves focused effort and attention is monitoring the servicers of loans that have been been placed into assignment with HUD. That oversight is crucial as HUD states the majority of losses from Type 1 claims are the result of the borrowers no longer occupying the home as their primary residence (or in some cases even living in the property at all) and the failure to pay property charges such as taxes and insurance. Such instances call for active and prompt intervention by assigned HUD servicing vendors to preserve the economic values of properties, and preventing occupancy fraud- both which stand to substantially contribute to continued and avoidable insurance claims and losses.

HUD Secretary Ben Carson’s comments became somewhat political in the December 9th official HUD press release which accompanied the agency’s financial report which reads in part, “When an institution becomes insulated from the success or failure of its policies, it loses its incentive to operate efficiently. Private businesses, while engaged in different work than the federal government, do not have the luxury of being protected from their failures or maintaining damaging courses of action,” adding, “Irv Dennis was able to accomplish the impossible task of providing the financial stability that had gone left unchecked for so many years.” Keep in mind, January will bring us a new administration and agency heads which are certain to have a direct impact on housing policy and the HECM program.

Setting politics aside much has been accomplished to improve the HECM program since the great recession of 2009. However, merely increasing oversight of lenders. “HUD must strengthen its effort to ensure that the lenders participating in the HECM program comply with its regulatory and administrative requirements and minimize claim costs” reads the agency’s 2020 financial report. With very few notable exceptions, HECM lenders have worked closely with HUD to ensure ethical and efficient lending to today’s older homeowners. Chances are that the largest liabilities to the economic value of the program can be found in the servicing of assigned loans for non-compliant borrowers as mentioned earlier, and reexamining the structural change of upfront FHA insurance premiums charged made in October 2017.

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Why California is the future of the HECM Fund



Why California will shape the future of the HECM in FHA’s Insurance Fund

A few things are undeniable and established truths; one being the valuation of FHA’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund is extremely sensitive to even the most modest changes in home price appreciation. Don’t blame the messenger. Blame the math. The mathematical assumptions where a mere 1 drop in home appreciation reduces FHA’s insurances fund’s capitalization ratio by 1.3%. Applying a hypothetical stress test FHA’s report to Congress reveals market conditions similar to 2007 would completely erase the Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund’s positive six-percent capitalization ratio down to a negative .63 percent.  Knowing this it’s easier to understand the agency’s reluctance to grant repeated requests from housing lobbyists to further reduce premiums. It’s clear that a higher capitalization ratio is needed to weather the storms of economic uncertainty.

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Today much of that uncertainty is focused on the long-term impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on the American economy- more specifically unemployment. After all, it’s employment that is the linchpin of the housing market. After all it’s difficult to make your mortgage payment without a full income. Though receiving less attention than the overall improvement of the fund’s improvement in valuation FHA’s report addresses three potential risks that could boost future claims: First is a reversal of home price appreciation (a fall in values) triggered by a flood of distressed properties coming on the market. FHA reports to have over 900,000 loans in serious delinquency- those are loans over 90 days delinquent. Second, are more unemployed borrowers than projected. These homeowners would place strain on the fund not being eligible for loss-mitigation having no income to resume making monthly payments. Third, too many borrowers opting to take a full twelve-months of mortgage forbearance under the CARES Act which terminate in a short period of time. The report states “A gradual unwinding of forbearance would be a preferred outcome, as it would be less likely to cause the market disruptions”.

Two other market risks should be noted. First, is the ‘California Factor’. FHA’s annual report notes that federally-insured reverse mortgages are much more geographically concentrated than their traditional FHA counterparts. California alone represents just over 35% of all endorsed HECM loans based on Maximum Claim Amounts.  The other 25% of total MCA volume comes from Florida, Colorado, Arizona, and Washington State- this means five states account for sixty percent of HECM endorsements by MCA in 2020. “As a result, future HECM performance will most likely be more reliant on economic factors such as house price appreciation in these concentrated states, particularly in California where the share of HECM MCA is almost five times greater than Colorado, the state with the second-highest share at 7.38 percent.” To monitor the future financial health of the HECM portion of FHA’s insurance fund, look to future home value trends in these states, especially California.

Next week we will examine the 2020 Actuarial Review of the HECM portion of the MMI Fund, more specifically we will examine why despite rising home values and low interest rates potential causes of why the HECM’s valuation actually dropped significantly since October 2017 HECM changes. In the meantime, we leave you with the words of Seneca- “The whole future lies in uncertainty – live immediately”. Let’s find what can be accomplished today and approach it with vigor and tenacity.

FHA’s Report to Congress on the Financial Status of the Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund [READ]

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Podcast E638: Time to Move Out of MMI Fund


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New FHA Commissioner calls  to remove HECM from FHA MMI Fund

The HECM likely needs to be removed from FHA’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund to stop traditional mortgage borrowers from subsidizing losses.

Other Stories:

  • The DOJ files complaint against lender for decade-old HECMS

  • New waivers give non-borrowing-spouses a reprieve 

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HECM Changes in 2019: Inspector General’s Report Provides Clues

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Inspector General report points to specific risks

reverse mortgage newsIn October HUD’s Office of the Inspector General released their report which telegraphs what changes to the HECM we may see in 2019.

If you were to ask ten HECM professionals what their outlook was for 2019, you would likely get ten different answers. Of all the responses one were to receive the most honest and realistic would be- expect more change.

There’s been much talk in the media of Inspector Generals recently- most of it centered on the political war that rages in the wake of alleged Russian collusion in the Trump administration and also the Inspector General (IG) investigations into the Department of Justice and the intelligence community. However, what most may not know is that all major federal agencies have a functioning IG who serve as watchdogs to ensure that the best interests of the government and taxpayers are served. On October 15, 2018, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Inspector General’s office released their report outlining 6 challenges facing the agency.

Of the six the most troubling and problematic are the continued risks to FHA’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance fund, which backs both HECM and traditional FHA loans. The OIG states that HUD is presently lacks sufficient safeguards to prevent loan servicers that fail to meet foreclosure and conveyance deadlines from incurring holding costs which are passed onto HUD. It is estimated these delays cost the agency $2.23 billion in ‘unreasonable and unnecessary’ holding costs in a five year period. While not specifically mentioning HECMs it’s not a stretch to believe these issues plague both traditional and HECM loans. This comes as no surprise considering our recent report and an article in HousingWire which reveals a number of illegitimate occupants continue to remain in properties with a reverse mortgage; many times years after the borrower has moved, passed away, or in some cases even rented the property to another party. In other instances, heirs have reported considerable delays in getting a deed in lieu of foreclosure processed or waiting over 5 months for an appraiser to come to the property so the family can arrange for a purchase. While noncompliant occupancy of HECM properties is not specifically addressed, the report does cite delayed property claim reporting by servicers and/or lenders.

There’s no question that the HECM is flashing brightly on the radar of government watchdogs as evidenced in the report which reveals large losses attributed to the reverse mortgages… [download transcript]

Tip of the Iceberg: HECM Occupancy Abuses

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HECM abuses when borrower no longer occupies the property pose risk to FHA’s MMI fund

reverse mortgage newsHow quickly are HECM properties sold or called due and payable when the last borrower has died or moved out? More importantly, how many properties with a HECM are sitting on the books for years while the borrower’s heirs or unauthorized tenants remain in the house; in many cases for years?

It’s not often during my show prep that I strike gold, but this week was the exception finding an intriguing and unsettling article by Mike Branson. It details where a significant portion of our HECM losses may be coming from. Mike is the CEO and owner of All Reverse Mortgage. He has over 40 years experience in mortgage banking and also has served as an expert witness for the FBI in mortgage fraud cases. That particular experience plus numerous questions he has fielded has raised some very serious concerns which we will address here today. A very timely topic since the HECM may be facing additional changes this year.